Everything: cases, hospitalizations, wastewater — says that cases have peaked and are on the downswing. (Probably because school started. /sarcasm.)
I find it odd that hospitalizations and cases peaked at the same time. Usually hospitalizations lag cases by two weeks.
I don’t think it’s from the vax rollout — you could imagine that care homes provide an outsize number of hospitalizations, and care homes are supposed to get vaxes first — but I don’t think the care home vaccinations started until 10 October. This article says in passing that they vaccinated “thousands” of health care workers and long-term care home residents earlier, but even so, it takes about two weeks to get to maximum protection, so it’s still too early to see the effects of vaccination.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Vaccine Supply
My sources tell me that the COVID-19 vax supply in BC is not keeping up with demand. This article agrees. I don’t completely understand: the article says that Moderna’s XBB has been in stock since before it was approved. (The Pfizer just arrived this week. Novavax has not been approved yet.) I guess there just wasn’t enough Moderna for everybody?
(They do seem to have enough influenza vax on hand.)
Statistics
As of 5 Oct, the BC CDC situation report says that in the week ending on 7 Oct there were: +807 reported cases, +226 hospital admissions, +24 ICU admissions, and +26 thirty-day all-cause deaths*.
In the week ending 30 Sept, there were +885 reported cases, +279 hospital admissions, +27 ICU admissions, and +35 thirty-day all-cause deaths*.
For comparison, in the previous update, in the week ending on 30 Sept there were: +877 reported cases, +228 hospital admissions, +25 ICU admissions, +24 thirty-day all-cause deaths*.
*All-cause deaths in people who had a positive COVID-19 test in the prior 30 days, that is.
There were 397 people in hospital with COVID-19 on 12 October.
Wastewater
From Jeff’s spreadsheet:
Variants
From the BC CDC Genomic Surveillance web page:
Charts
From the BC CDC Situation Report updated 12 October:
