Editor’s note: I haven’t posted frequently in the past eight weeks because I have been super-busy. That will probably continue through the end of July; it hopefully will ease up a bit in August.
All the indicators say that the incidence of COVID-19 is going down.
It’s not clear how trustworthy these indicators are, but I do trust the wastewater data quite a bit (although it is noisy); I think the number of people in hospital with COVID-19 is probably reasonably trustworthy for comparing to historical values.
We finally have fewer people in the hospital with COVID-19 than we did at the peak of Delta.
Wastewater
From Jeff’s spreadsheet, made with data from Metro Van, which comes from BC CDC:
Statistics
As of June 9, the BC CDC situation report says that in the week ending on 27 May there were: +263 reported cases, +103 hospital admissions, +13 ICU admissions, +11 thirty-day all-cause deaths*.
As of June 9, the situation report says that the previous week (data through May 20) there were: +317 reported cases, +147 hospital admissions, +19 ICU admissions, +50 all-cause deaths*.
As of June 9, the situation report says that the week before that (data through May 13) there were: +371 reported cases, +165 hospital admissions, +27 ICU admissions, +47 all-cause deaths*.
As of June 9, the situation report says that the week before that (data through May 6) there were: +466 reported cases, +181 hospital admissions, +35 ICU admissions, +35 all-cause deaths*.
For comparison, in the previous update, it said that in the week ending on 29 April there were: +636 reported cases, +175 hospital admissions, +16 ICU admissions, +42 thirty-day all-cause deaths*.
*All-cause deaths in people who had a positive COVID-19 test in the prior 30 days, that is.
Charts
From the BC CDC Situation Report as of 1 June:
There are no whole-genome sequences reported for the most recent week of data. The report says, “With the decrease in positive samples received for sequencing, small numbers of samples have been sequenced in the latest epi-weeks.”
