Everything: cases, hospitalizations, wastewater — says that cases have peaked and are on the downswing. (Probably because school started. /sarcasm.)
I find it odd that hospitalizations and cases peaked at the same time. Usually hospitalizations lag cases by two weeks.
I don’t think it’s from the vax rollout — you could imagine that care homes provide an outsize number of hospitalizations, and care homes are supposed to get vaxes first — but I don’t think the care home vaccinations started until 10 October. This article says in passing that they vaccinated “thousands” of health care workers and long-term care home residents earlier, but even so, it takes about two weeks to get to maximum protection, so it’s still too early to see the effects of vaccination.
My sources tell me that the COVID-19 vax supply in BC is not keeping up with demand. This article agrees. I don’t completely understand: the article says that Moderna’s XBB has been in stock since before it was approved. (The Pfizer just arrived this week. Novavax has not been approved yet.) I guess there just wasn’t enough Moderna for everybody?
(They do seem to have enough influenza vax on hand.)
As of 5 Oct, the BC CDC situation report says that in the week ending on 7 Oct there were: +807 reported cases, +226 hospital admissions, +24 ICU admissions, and +26 thirty-day all-cause deaths*.
In the week ending 30 Sept, there were +885 reported cases, +279 hospital admissions, +27 ICU admissions, and +35 thirty-day all-cause deaths*.
For comparison, in the previous update, in the week ending on 30 Sept there were: +877 reported cases, +228 hospital admissions, +25 ICU admissions, +24 thirty-day all-cause deaths*.
*All-cause deaths in people who had a positive COVID-19 test in the prior 30 days, that is.
There were 397 people in hospital with COVID-19 on 12 October.
From Jeff’s spreadsheet:
From the BC CDC Genomic Surveillance web page:
From the BC CDC Situation Report updated 12 October: