Modelling
The BC COVID-19 Modelling Group has released another report. They say that BC is undercounting COVID-19 deaths:
They say that, based on serology data, the province is undercounting cases by about a factor of 100x (this is consistent with a report that some UBC scholars including Dr. Henry) published. I am as convinced in the validity of the 100x number as I am about anything in this pandemic:
THIS MEANS THAT ~2% OF BC RESIDENTS ARE CURRENTLY INFECTED, AND THAT NUMBER IS INCREASING.
They say that it looks like we are about to start another wave.
IMPORTANT: unlike previous waves, this appears to be due to waning of the effectiveness of the vaccine and not due to new variants appearing.
The good news is that we can improve our immunity by getting booster shots. GET YOUR BOOSTERS, EVERYBODY!
Mitigation Measures
This article reports that a BC accountant who argued that their company putting them on leave for three months (because they wouldn’t get vaccinated) was constructive dismissal lost their case.
Vaccines
This article reports that people who have not gotten invitations (but have had six months since their last shot) have been able to get boosters.
Statistics
This week’s BC CDC weekly report said that in the week ending on 1 October there were: +697 confirmed cases, +185 hospital admissions, +28 ICU admissions, +19 all-cause deaths.
This week’s report said that the previous week (data through 24 September) there were: +636 confirmed cases, +198 hospital admissions, +31 ICU admissions, +34 all-cause deaths.
Last week’s BC CDC weekly report said that in the week ending on 24 September there were: +635 confirmed cases, +150 hospital admissions, +30 ICU admissions, +16 all-cause deaths.
Last week’s report said that the previous week (data through 17 September) there were: +636 confirmed cases, +203 hospital admissions, +29 ICU admissions, +31 all-cause deaths.
The BC CDC dashboard says that there are 369 in hospital / 29 in ICU on 6 October 2022.
Charts
From the BC CDC Situation Report for the week ending 24 September:
From the BC CDC Variants of Concern report of 6 October.
